Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.539681 0.600774 0.666812 0.743638 0.830732 0.926596 1.040373
2025-03-30 0.434837 0.516745 0.612121 0.731963 0.879331 1.055656 1.284136
2025-04-06 0.378297 0.469251 0.580503 0.727728 0.919115 1.161780 1.496410
2025-04-13 0.326935 0.419189 0.536426 0.698014 0.917562 1.209233 1.632395
2025-04-20 0.300950 0.397413 0.524264 0.705650 0.962235 1.318103 1.859471
2025-04-27 0.279924 0.379384 0.514196 0.713407 1.005639 1.427145 2.096991
2025-05-04 0.261612 0.362924 0.504039 0.718872 1.044670 1.531888 2.338326
2025-05-11 0.244875 0.346939 0.492662 0.720639 1.077115 1.628408 2.576408
2025-05-18 0.232206 0.335592 0.486701 0.729318 1.119990 1.744094 2.858028
2025-05-25 0.214639 0.315495 0.465879 0.712776 1.120559 1.790656 3.026439
2025-06-01 0.205595 0.307551 0.462770 0.723620 1.166113 1.915349 3.346234
2025-06-08 0.193820 0.294458 0.450512 0.718260 1.183439 1.992600 3.587746
2025-06-15 0.185344 0.286169 0.445551 0.725046 1.223078 2.114629 3.933142
2025-06-22 0.174219 0.272879 0.431534 0.715244 1.232425 2.182646 4.182081
2025-06-29 0.165194 0.262383 0.421311 0.711007 1.251090 2.269320 4.479544
2025-07-06 0.152506 0.244983 0.398270 0.682077 1.220984 2.258784 4.570260
2025-07-13 0.147177 0.239661 0.395491 0.689514 1.260445 2.388853 4.983256
2025-07-20 0.142256 0.234704 0.392953 0.697069 1.300609 2.524246 5.427298
2025-07-27 0.137331 0.229416 0.389435 0.702391 1.336625 2.654548 5.878354
2025-08-03 0.132208 0.223460 0.384294 0.704112 1.365292 2.771947 6.315643
2025-08-10 0.128387 0.219596 0.382694 0.712563 1.408618 2.925917 6.867250
2025-08-17 0.121461 0.209703 0.369300 0.696454 1.398092 2.957550 7.109397
2025-08-24 0.118495 0.206923 0.369090 0.707014 1.446365 3.129504 7.749882